MLB Handicaps Friday
Yesterday’s DDSN Player of the Day was Wilson Contreras who was 2/5 with 2 HR, 6 RBI & 2 R
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These prices are per Draft Kings, which are similar to FanDuel if those are available to you. Some use off shore accounts that have more juice than what is listed or are unavailable. If H+R+RBI is unavailable to you then I suggest you split a 1 unit bet 33% each or whatever % you’d like to 1 or 2 hits, 1 run & 1 RBI. You should get + money on 2/3 of those and that will help long term. Or find a way to pair them up in 2’s or 3’s (parlay). For baseball season, I personally bet 1 unit to win X and don’t lay more than -160. This refers most to player props. Questions? Just ask!
Early Slate
5:30pm cst: Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
This is a story of two small payroll teams trending in opposite directions. The Snakes have been hot as of late while the Pirates are experiencing a rough patch. The Diamondbacks will have Zac Gallen on the mound against Johan Oviedo. Both pitchers have been strong this season especially Gallen. I like both starters to have strong starts and this game to stay under the total.
Pick: Under 8 (-130)
5:30pm cst: New York Yankees (-170) vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Yankees’ lineup in a hitters park with Clarke Schmidt and Ben Lively on the mound? This total looks a .5 runs short. I like runs here in what looks to be a high scoring affair.
Pick: Over 10.5 (-110)
5:30pm cst: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays (-225)
The Rays have lost two games in a row to the NY Mets and are now at home hosting the Brewers. With Shane McClanahan on the mound this feels like a big Rays win incoming and the price here shows that. There is not much I like in this game with everything for the Rays heavily juiced. I don’t want to back Adrian Houser either.
Pick: NA
6:00pm cst: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-135)
The Cubs are stuck in a slump currently only winning 2 of its last 10 games. The Phillies have lost 4 in a row so something’s gotta give tonight. Marcus Stroman will be on the mound for the Cubs and he’s had success against the Phillies in the past. LHP Ranger Suarez will be up for the Phillies and that me to the Cubs’ advantage as they enjoy facing LHP. This also the 1st Phillies home game since 5/10.
Pick: Cubs (+115)
Under 8.5 (+100)
6:00pm cst: Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals (-110)
We have a even line but I feel the Nationals should be getting a bit more respect here on the betting line due to Matthew Boyd being on the mound for the Tigers. Boyd has not been great and the Nationals will be starting Jake Irvin who will be making his 4th start. In his last start he was roughed up for the 1st time this season and this may be a great time to buy on the Nats and fade Matthew Boyd.
Pick: Nationals (-110)
Over 8.5 (-115)
6:00pm cst: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (-155)
Talk about an inflated line on the Blue Jays and Kikuchi. This number is too high especially because the Orioles kill LHP. I have been waiting for Kyle Gibson to blow up but he has continued to be a solid starter for the O’s.
Pick: Orioles (+135)
6:00pm cst: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets (-150)
Carlos Carrasco gets the home start against his old team the Guardians. Cleveland will have ace Cal Quantrill on the mound tonight to face this Mets lineup that is starting to warm up. Fun fact: these two teams have not face one another since 2019. I lean Cleveland here but I’m just going the prop route.
Pick: Pete Alonso H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (-145)
Mark Vientos H+R+RBI Over 1.5 (+105)
6:00pm cst: Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves (-150)
Tonight we have a great matchup of young pitchers between Seattle’s Bryce Miller against Atlanta’s Bryce Elder. Battle of the Bryce’s. Miller will be stepping up in competion tonight against the Braves but I will sweat these two going at it as I’ll take the under because the Braves are coming off a long road trip.
Pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
Evening Slate
7:00pm cst: Colorado Rockies vs. Texas Rangers (-225)
The Rockies will be starting rookie Karl Kauffmann for his first career start against this powerful Texas Rangers offense. Texas will have Martin Perez on the mound, which is why the Rangers’ ML is highly priced. I’m going to buy on the Ranger offense at home in the Peagle uniforms.
Pick: Rangers -1.5 (-115)
7:00pm cst: Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros (-265)
The Astros are massive favorites tonight with Brandon Bielak on the mound against Oakland’s Ken Waldichuk. I like runs, runs, runs tonight with Jose Altuve making his return to the Astros’ lineup.
Pick: Over 9.5 (-115)
Jose Altuve H+R+RBI Over 2.5 (+120)
7:00pm cst: Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox (-135)
Wow, Michael Kopech is a -135 favorite against Zach Greinke. It is more so about the White Sox is finally playing at full health against the struggling Royals but KC has won 2 games in a row. So is this a discount on the CWS? Hmm. Let’s go with runs in this one.
Pick: Over 9 (-105)
7:00pm cst: Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Well this game escalated quickly last night with the Cardinals winning 16-8. St. Louis is red hot for the first time this season but they may come down a bit tonight after the offensive output last night. This also happened last week against the Brewers and we cashed on the same situation. Let’s do it again this time with Tony Gonsolin on the mound for the Dodgers.
Pick: Dodgers (-120)
Under 8.5 (+100)
Night Slate
8:30pm cst: Minnesota Twins (-145) vs. Los Angeles Angels
We have Joe Ryan against LHP Reid Detmers in this one. Ryan has been locked in and is coming off a game where he had 10 strikeouts. I think we get runs here with a total too low in my opinion. I lean the Twins here but passing both sides.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-115)
8:30pm cst: Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres (-155)
LHP Blake Snell is a strong favorite tonight against LHP James Paxton making his second start for the Red Sox. Paxton had a great debut performance in his first start since 2021. This number is too high on the Padres especially when the Red Sox love going against Lefties.
Pick: Red Sox (+135)
9:00pm cst: Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants (-125)
Sandy Alcantara will be on the mound tonight against Anthony DeSclafani and the Giants. The Marlins are on a nice run right now. I’m afraid of the under in this one. It feels like the right side but I can see some runs tonight. DeSclafani has been underrated this season. I hate going against Sandy but our numbers suggest going against him on the road.
Pick: Giants (-125)
***The other games will be posted once more lineup information is available. Join us!
