CFB Week 10: Saturday Slate
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11:00AM CST: Ohio State Buckeyes -3 vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
It looks like QB Drew Allar will be starting for the Nittany Lions. For those who remember, he played awfully in this game last year. It was on the road, but his inability to move the ball through the air really held back Penn State. The same happened to Ohio State with QB and known underperformer Kyle McCord. The Buckeyes have upgraded since then. History has not been kind to Penn State when they face Ohio State, and I believe that continues. Even though this game will be played in Happy Valley, I am still not a believer in the Nittany Lions defense. Last year they struggled, and they had a much better defense with NFL talent. Now, Ohio State has reloaded and has a better offense than last year. We’ll see how the Buckeyes play on defense. The first offense that flinches will lose this game. Pressure is on, and I will take Ohio State.
Play: Ohio State -3 (-110) [via DraftKings]
11:00AM CST: Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes -21
Yes, the Manny Diaz revenge game. You don’t think he’s going to want to try and spoil the Miami perfect season? His defense will be ready to go. The only issue is QB Maalik Murphy. Of course, I finally bet against Duke for the first time all season and Murphy has his best game of the year. Can’t make this stuff up. Florida State was 21 point dogs and kept this game close until the end. Just based on gambling math, this number should be closer to 14-17 points. I’ll scoop up these points and back the Duke defense to make this game messy.
Play: Duke +21 (-112) [via DraftKings]
11:00AM CST: Ole Miss Rebels -7.5 vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
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11:00AM CST: Minnesota Golden Gophers -3 vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
The Golden Gophers have come on strong recently, and Illinois came out flat against the Mighty Oregon Ducks. I think that game has tilted the scales just a bit too far in the Gophers' favor after they blew out Maryland. I disagree with this line movement. In a game that is always landing on 3, I’ll scoop up the points. This game is close to even. We’ll see if Minnesota can handle the Illinois passing attack.
Play: Illinois +3 (-108) [via DraftKings]
2:30PM CST: Arizona State Sun Devils -4 vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
The Sun Devils are coming off a loss and a bye week. I like ASU playing on the road because they will have their QB back in the starting lineup, which they didn’t have against Cincinnati. OSU will have to start Alan Bowman at QB. I have it on good authority that Ollie Gordon II most likely won’t play and will save himself for the NFL due to an “undisclosed injury.” ASU isn’t dumb. They will run the ball 100 times in this game with Cam Skattebo against the worst defense in the country. OSU will also be dressed like prison inmates from the '50s, which is another reason Ollie Gordon will be in street clothes.
Play: Arizona State -4 (-110) [via DraftKings]
2:30PM CST: Kansas State Wildcats -12.5 vs. Houston Cougars
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2:30PM CST: North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5 vs. Florida State Seminoles
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6:30PM CST: Texas A&M Aggies -3 vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
This will be the best defense Marcel Reed has faced, especially with it being a night game on the road. He only completed two passes vs. LSU. South Carolina will need to be ready for the power running game of the Aggies. If they can stop it, then they will win this game. LaNorris Sellers has to protect the ball. The last time A&M visited the Gamecocks, they got blown out of the water. South Carolina will also be coming off a bye week. This is the perfect spot for the Gamecocks, and I think they rise to the occasion.
Play: South Carolina +3 (-105) [via DraftKings]
6:30PM CST: Louisville Cardinals vs. Clemson Tigers -10.5
We'll finally get the answer to whether the Clemson Tigers are for real or not. If they blow out Louisville like I suspect, without looking forward to Miami, we'll be in good shape. We've been profiting from fading Louisville, and it isn’t stopping yet. We may see another 10, or this may tick to 11. There is time for this to settle out. I’m laying the wood. Clemson should be able to give Louisville’s offense hell.
Play: Clemson -10.5 (-108) [via DraftKings]
6:30PM CST: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes -3
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6:30PM CST: Georgia Southern Eagles vs. South Alabama Jaguars -6
After seeing the way Old Dominion put it on GSU, the South Alabama offense should be able to do the same. I don’t agree with this line. It should be up over a touchdown.
Play: South Alabama -6 (-112) [via DraftKings]
DEBAUCHERY HOURS LIST:
Pitt vs. SMU - I love SMU so I may pass after they screwed me against Duke. Kevin Jennings injury has me spooked. I would take 7.5 with Pitt with the emotional hedge. This Pitt defense is the real deal.
TCU vs. Baylor - Two shitty teams. Take the home team with more to lose.
Oregon vs. Michigan (stay tuned) - I’m tired of betting against Oregon. So frustrating. I also don’t want to lay double digits on the road.
Florida vs. Georgia (stay tuned) - I think Florida can make this game ugly and keep it close. They have been doing it constantly. Just like the Michigan game I wish I grabbed 16 points. We’ll see how these two lines close. But, most likely I will pass on them.
