Week 11: NFL Sunday
Credit: Athlon Sports
NFL Season Record: (39-36-1) (-0.27 units)
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12:00PM CT: Baltimore Ravens -3 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
A great AFC North rivalry will have plenty on the line today in this game. Baltimore will be coming off extra rest, and Pittsburgh just finished a dogfight against the Redskins. The Ravens' defense was just torched by Joe Burrow and the Bengals' offense. Lamar Jackson made enough plays to get the win, but the Bengals' defense is just as bad. They will be facing a much better all-around defense today against the Steelers. Since Russell Wilson has been inserted as the starting QB, their offense has exploded. I think they will have more success today against the Ravens' pass defense. A 3.5 may show up here as well.
Play: Steelers +3 (+100) [via DraftKings]
12:00PM CT: Minnesota Vikings -6 vs. Tennessee Titans
Last week, Sam Darnold had one of his worst games of the season, throwing three interceptions and narrowly defeating the Jaguars. It's no secret that the Titans and Will Levis have been awful all season. They played decently against the Chargers but still lost by ten points. The Vikings have a good enough defense to give Tennessee and Levis some issues. I expect Darnold to bounce back with LaJarius Sneed out of the lineup for the Titans.
Play: Vikings -6 (-118) [via DraftKings]
12:00PM CT: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins -7.5
Miami is coming off a huge Monday Night Football victory, and the Raiders are off their bye week. Something tells me the Raiders will be bouncing back after a rough game against the Bengals. It just feels like the Dolphins, who got all the right bounces, will have a little pullback against Vegas. Tyreke Hill confirmed his wrist injury is bad enough that he will need surgery after the season. The Raiders can keep this game close if they can handle the blitz, which the Rams couldn't do.
Play: Raiders +7.5 (-105) [via DraftKings]
12:00PM CT: Los Angeles Rams -4 vs. New England Patriots
The Rams had a tough game against the Dolphins. Their offensive line was exposed after they were unable to handle the blitz. If the Patriots can scheme to challenge this offensive line, then they will find success. The Patriots have found an offensive spark with Drake Maye at QB, but the offensive line is still a problem for the Pats as well. I don't think the Rams should be laying 4 on the road. The Pats are improving every week.
Play: Patriots +4 (-110) [via DraftKings]
3:00PM CT: Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers -6
We are getting a discount in this game due to the Seahawks coming off a bye week. It looks like it's all systems go for the Niners' offensive weapons. The story here is that Geno Smith cannot and has never beaten the 49ers. Geno and the Seattle offensive line cannot handle the defense and blitzes the 49ers throw at him. If you ever watch him, it's a constant panic in the pocket. I think San Francisco will eventually grind down the Seahawks and run away with this one, as usual.
Play: 49ers -6 (-108) [via DraftKings]
3:00PM CT: Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos -1.5
There has been a lot of trash-talking coming from the Falcons defensive backs about Bo Nix. I think it will come back to haunt them. The Falcons secondary started the season hot but has simmered down since then. The Broncos still have a strong secondary that will give Kirk Cousins some problems. Cousins is also likely playing with an injured shoulder. I think Bo Nix shows up after the Broncos narrowly lost to the Chiefs last week.
Play: Broncos -1.5 (-112) [via DraftKings]
3:20PM CT: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills -2.5
Once again, the haters are betting and picking against Patrick Mahomes as an underdog. I just don't see it with this Bills team. The Chiefs haven't been perfect but they have yet to lose. The Chiefs' defense is underrated. Can the Bills' offense score touchdowns or settle for FGs like they did against the Dolphins? Give me the Chiefs in a game the defense dominates.
