NBA Turn Up: Wednesday
New series: NBA Turn Up
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6:00pm cst: Milwaukee Bucks (-12) vs. Indiana Pacers
Pacers seem to be winding down the end of the year waving up the white flag. The Bucks didn’t cover the double digit spread against Detroit but they still had a great game without Giannis or Jrue Holiday. Spread is probably a couple points low but I’m passing on double digit spreads with only a few games left in the season. Bucks props are inflated so going the opposite direction. Khris Middleton is OUT.
Pick: Andrew Nembhard Over 13.5 Points (-125)
Jordan Nwora Over 16.5 Points (-110)
6:30pm cst: Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers (-5.5)
The Mavericks are out of the playoff pictures and there are only a few games left in the season. Both teams are limping right now, literally and figuratively. We probably won’t hear about either teams’ starting lineups until last minute. How hungry are these Mavericks to make the playoffs? They spend more time fighting online with each other than practicing it seems. No lineup info and I would want 6 points with Dallas. Embiid and Harden both starting.
Pick: Dallas +7
6:30pm cst: Houston Rockets vs. Brooklyn Nets (-10.5)
The last time these two faced each other the Nets won a blowout on the road. This is another double digit spread I want no part of. Best thing to do is find low numbers on players that should get plenty of playing time and these totals are actually low.
Pick: Jabari Smith Jr. Over 13.5 Points (-130)
Jalen Green Over 21.5 Points (-130)
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 18.5 Points (-125)
6:30pm cst: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks (-5)
Both of these teams are just playing for seeding at this point and trying to make it into the playoffs as healthy as possible. I lean towards the Heat getting points here but will lean more on the props.
Pick: Jimmy Butler Over 23.5 Points (-135)
Tyler Herro Over 19.5 Points (-125)
7:00pm cst: Los Angeles Lakers (-3.5) vs. Chicago Bulls
The Bulls are starting to turn a corner and the Lakers have stayed hot. This should be a great game like these played three days ago. A lot of these props are inflated for this game.
Pick: Bulls +3.5
DeMar DeRozan Over 23.5 Points (-110)
7:00pm cst: Utah Jazz (-2) vs. San Antonio Spurs
This line is screaming as a sucker line. All signs would point towards playing the Spurs at this number. San Antonio is in tank mode so it is always hard to back them. No starting lineup information other than Lauri Markannen is out. I was hoping there would be player props for Julian Champagnie points over. I would take it if it pops up. He is starting so whatever number it is I love Champagnie’s game.
Pick: Ochai Agbaji Over 15.5 Points (-110)
7:00pm cst: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies (-2)
I don’t understand this line whatsoever. Kawhi is out and Ja Morant is in at the Grindhouse. This number is too short so give me the Grizzlies. I’ll play with fire here as the line looks sketchy but can’t pass it up.
Pick: Grizzlies -2
7:00pm cst: Detroit Pistons vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (-9.5)
Not sure I want anything to do with this game. Thunder are hot and Pistons are tanking the end of the season. I lean OKC if I had to choose a side. The Thunder number props are inflated. Pistons would be the way to go prop wise.
Pick: Jaden Ivey Over 18.5 Points (-130)
Killian Hayes Over 13.5 Points (-115)
9:00pm cst: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns (-6.5)
It’s the moment many NBA fans have been waiting for and that is the return of Kevin Durant to the Suns since his freak layup line injury. It just so happens that the Timberwolves are one of the hottest teams in the West winning 4 in a row. With or without Durant, the Suns have the T-Wolves number. Will Durant have minutes restriction? Waiting on official lineups for the Timberwolves. Would like Anthony Edwards points over if he plays. If not, I would go the KAT route.
Pick: Kevin Durant Over 31.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-110)
Devin Booker Under 27.5 Points (-105)
9:00pm cst: Sacramento Kings (-14) vs. Portland Trail Blazers
This is a huge double digit number the Kings are laying and the Blazers are benching its best players. There will be hungry young ones though. It would be difficult to take points in these games like we discussed so let’s look at low prop numbers.
Pick: Shaedon Sharpe Over 21.5 Points (-105)
Keegan Murray Over 12.5 Points (-110)
Domantas Sabonis Over 38.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-125)
***The other games will be posted once more lineup information is available.
