CFB Week 8: Saturday Handicaps
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College Football Season Record (43-40-2) [+2.70 units]
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11:00AM CST: Auburn Tigers vs. Missouri Tigers -3.5; Total 49.5
The Auburn Tigers have been taking money all week, which was a shock to me. Auburn has only played one road game all season and this will be their second. We have discussed multiple times that this Missouri team is not close to what they were last year, especially on defense. Today, they’re in luck. They won’t be facing A&M’s power running game or Diego Pavia. They will most likely face Peyton Thorne, one of the worst quarterbacks in college football. If the Mizzou defense can make some plays, I believe the offense will be able to score on the Auburn defense. One team will turn the ball over more than once and will eventually lose. I like Mizzou in a spot to save their season.
Play: Missouri -3.5 (-112) [via DraftKings]
11:00AM CST: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. UConn Huskies -1; Total 55
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2:30PM CST: Alabama Crimson Tide -3 vs. Tennessee Volunteers; Total 57.5
The third Saturday in October has shaped up to be one of the more intriguing games of the day. The Alabama defense against the Tennessee offense. QB Nico Iamaleava hasn’t been perfect and has fallen from the Heisman talk. Instead, he is being compared to Joe Milton (negatively!). Not good after the way he started the season. The Vols struggled with the Gators at home, but they always do. They also had Alabama on deck. Except for the first half against Georgia, Alabama has not looked too impressive in big games. They struggled against South Carolina last weekend. This is a major game for both teams and could determine whether or not they make the playoff. It just feels like the type of game Tennessee wakes up for. I’ll take the FG, and we might just get the hook if money keeps showing for the Tide. Nico gets this Tennessee offense back on track against a Bama defense that has struggled a bit. This game is closer to even in my opinion.
Play: Tennessee +3 (-108) [via DraftKings]
2:30PM CST: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -13.5 vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
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2:30PM CST: Michigan Wolverines -4.5 vs. Illinois Fighting Illini; Total 44.5
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2:30PM CST: Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks -5; Total 46
Both of these teams are coming off idle weeks. Houston went into their open week with plenty of momentum after making a move at QB. The Cougars ended up kicking the tar out of TCU behind new starting QB Zeon Criss. This is the type of move that can change the ending to Houston’s lackluster season. Kansas has shown us close to zero that warrants being favored by 5 points. I know we should have taken this at 6.5, but we will take more than a FG. The only thing that scares me is Kansas has been scoring; they just can’t seem to win games. It’s a prove-it game. Let’s see if Criss can keep it going.
Play: Houston +5 (-108) [via DraftKings]
6:00PM CST: LSU Tigers -2.5 vs. Arkansas Razorbacks; Total 57
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6:00PM CST: Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Another week, another Southern Miss fade.
Play: Arkansas State -7 (-110) [via DraftKings]
6:30PM CST: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns -4.5
The game of the night between Georgia and Texas. Georgia has played a tough schedule thus far, and one could make the argument that Texas hasn’t played anyone. Quinn Ewers was not impressive against Oklahoma coming off of his injury. Now, he will be tested against the Bulldogs defense. This spread got all the way up to 5.5, down to 5, and now it’s sitting at 4.5. That is over a full touchdown swing from the number prior to the UGA-Bama game. I make this number closer to Texas -3 being at home. Such a huge swing. Carson Beck has played in some tough games, facing adversity. Texas is great on offense, but we don’t know how healthy Ewers is. His mistakes were not compounded because of the lack of offense from an injured Oklahoma team. I think Texas wins, but they are laying too many points here. You can hold out to see if a 5 shows again, which I think it will close at Texas -5.
Play: Georgia +4.5 (-108) [via DraftKings]
6:30PM CST: Kansas State Wildcats -3 vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
Kansas State keeps getting tested on the road and they keep passing. We have been waiting all year for West Virginia to do something. Do you hear that? Yup that’s the Undertaker’s gong. It’s RIP to West Virginia and HC Neal Brown. This will be Brown’s final game at WVU, which is about two years too late. K-State defense should eat WVU alive.
Play: Kansas State -3 (-105) [via DraftKings]
6:45PM CST: Kentucky Wildcats -2 vs. Florida Gators
Speaking of funerals. This will be the nail in the Billy Napier coffin. Florida will be starting true freshman DJ Lagway against a tough Kentucky defense. Kentucky loss last week at home to Vandy so I expect them to be locked in to give the Frosh a tough time. UK has dominated this series recently and isn’t afraid to play in the Swamp. Kentucky will be too much for the Florida offense to handle.
Play: Kentucky -2 (-110) [via DraftKings]
9:30PM CST: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Utah Utes -3
TCU looked awful against Houston at home. Now, they must travel and play a night game against Utah. The Utes have finally moved on from Cam Rising. I think that should help the offense focus. This number probably closes at 4 but I think Utah will take care of business against a struggling TCU team. Utes bounce back after putting Rising in the rear view mirror.
