NFL Wild Card Sunday
The Buffalo Bills and its incredible training / medical staff will be hosting the Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon with pride.
I’ll go ahead and not talk about the incredible Jaguars comeback and save that for the breakdown coming for round 2. But wow. Duuuuval. We are on to the next slate! How ‘bout we get into it?! We killed the handicaps on the Saturday spreads but the totals were off. So, I’m off totals this postseason after that. Let’s go.
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (-13.5); total 43.5; 12:00pm ct
This is a division rivalry playoff game but we will be without Tua Tagovailoa or Teddy Bridgewater. 3rd string QB Skylar Thompson from Kansas State University will get the start. What could go wrong? Let’s start from the beginning. The Dolphins won the first matchup in Miami. Bills were dominant offensively, Tua went out with a crazy concussion we think and came back in the 2H and lead a crazy comeback win. Ken Dorsey lost it on TV. This was one of those games that didn’t make sense. The storybook ending just took over after the Florida heat and humidity deteriorated the Bills. Buffalo dominated, yet, the Dolphins won. Sometime football ain’t fair. Believe me. It’s true. Miami then had to travel to Buffalo after a snow storm. Field was freezing but no inclement weather. Now, this game was a shootout. Basically how I would picture this game playin’ out except there’s no Tua and we have other story lines at work here.
Yes, I am talking about THE Damar Hamlin. An example of not taking anything for granted. This game being played, your brothers / teammates, coaches, fans or staff on the sidelines. It only takes seconds. We’ve been given our sign, now we must be thankful and play.
If you watched this game then you should know that the Dolphins played a great game on offense and gave Buffalo’s secondary fits going deep. Yes, maybe because of the cold. Now, it will be Skylar Thompson not Tua. Not that Tua is a dominant passer downfield but there is no doubt he got it done against the Bills. Thompson is just outmatched here I’m sorry. Rookies historically struggle in the playoffs or first time QBs. This is why I’m laying it with the Bills. I trust Josh Allen and the Bills to keep it going and this game playing out like the Seahawks vs. 49ers game. Taking the ‘Phins would mean you think Miami can put up 2 TDs minimum. Buffalo is going to show no mercy offensively. This line should be between 14-17 because of the QB position for Miami.
New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3); total 48; 3:30pm ct
You will hear Kirk Cousins this, Cousins that but .. you LIKE THAT?! Your bartender, uncle and granny are on the dogs here but I don’t think that’s the play. It was no accident that the Vikings won every one possession game this season. These type of trends tend to keep going. Vikings played some of their starters last week but not like the Chargers did. So they have a little freshness and they will be playing at home. I’m all for Vikings slander with them laying points but as long as it’s more than 3. Anything over 3 then I will look at the dog but -3 I’m with Cousins and the Vikings. The Vikings offense can play. The defense is a different story. They will have the home field behind them to try and stop Daniel Jones. Jones actually plays better on the road than at home and inside a dome will be a plus for him. When they played a couple weeks ago this was a dead even game except the Giants were 3/11 27% on 3rd down, 2 TOs and 7 penalties. Who do you trust more when the game is on the line? Kirk Cousins and the Vikings offense or Daniel Jones and their offense? Cousins is at home. If the DDSN Research department is correct then Kirk Cousins only home game in the playoffs was the Minneapolis Miracle. Personally I am not a fan of teams taking full bye weeks before the playoffs. I know Brandon Staley was an idiot but at least have them get a little loose to avoid rust like the Vikings did. I think that would be the difference as well as there not being any hook attached to this line. It’s the Vikings - this is a ML game so no disrespect if you go that route. Skol.
Baltimore Raves vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-8.5); total 40.5; 7:15pm [await QB news]
This is an easy one. If Tyler Huntley is starting for the Ravens at QB then I would look at the number first before betting. If it is more than 7 then the Ravens are worth a look. The Bengals are missing two huge pieces of its offensive line and the experienced Ravens will be looking to exploit that very glaring weakness. Huntley is very capable to run the offense as if Lamar Jackson was. But Anthony Brown ex Oregon Duck is not. If Brown starts then think about the Bills handicap. A rookie QB is not going to keep pace with a fully functionable (oline?) top 5 NFL offense. If Brown starts then I’d bet anything with the Bengals. Cinci is in win now mode so all systems go and no prisoners. If Huntley goes then that means he has been healthy and the Ravens have been saving him since they cemented their spot. Waiting for this moment. The experienced coaching staff has the upper hand here. This all depends on the Ravens QB and the number. Good luck however you play it but I’m tellin’ ya. Enjoy.