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NFL Season Record: 20-22-4 - Betting 1 Unit to Win X

• 12:00pm cst: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns -2.5

The Cleveland Browns will be without Deshaun Watson for the rest of the year and DTR will be starting for the Browns. He was in shellshock vs. the Ravens in his first NFL start. Now he will be going against the Steelers deadly pass rush in his second start. Will he have learned that much in between games to be favored? Is the Browns defense that great to be favored with a third string QB? I think this line has gone a bit too far. I like the Browns’ defense but one of my Football Betting Commandments is “Don’t bet a bad quarterback unless you are willing to live with the consequences”. I am taking the Steelers in a rivalry game where they have been great historically.

Pick: Steelers +2.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]

• 12:00pm cst: Los Angeles Chargers -3 vs. Green Bay Packers

It wouldn’t be an NFL Sunday if there wasn’t a stinker on the official card. Packers QB Jordan Love takes one step forward and three steps back. He has not been able to put together a full four quarters of good football. He will now have a healthy defense to support him. The Chargers are the kings of one score games. Now they will be on the road and laying a FG? I don’t think so! I am backing the Packers at home getting a FG.

Pick: Packers +3 (-110) [via DraftKings]

• 12:00pm cst: Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions -8

Justin Fields is back starting for the Bears, which is typically a bad sign for Chicago. He is terrible against NFC North opponents. The Lions are red hot and will be playing at home. Can the Bears defense play hard for four quarters? I’m betting no. Will Justin Fields be ready to keep up with the Lions offense? I’m betting no.

Pick: Lions -8 (-110) [via DraftKings]

• 12:00pm cst: Dallas Cowboys -11 vs. Carolina Panthers

This one is simple for me. Dallas does not play down to their competition, they usually flex their muscles. They have been doing it all season. I do not think Bryce Young will be able to survive this Dallas defense. The Carolina defense will only be able to keep this one close for so long. Total fade on Bryce Young and backing a hot Dallas offense and ferocious defense.

Pick: Cowboys -11 (-110) [via DraftKings]

• 12:00pm cst: Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans -5.5

The Texans are the real deal with CJ Stroud at quarterback. Kyler Murray is back in the state of Texas looking to play spoiler. I am a bit scared with the Texans laying more than 3 and 4 points after a massive road win against the Bengals. There is one thing about the Cardinals and that is these guys play hard until the last whistle. Too many points in a possible let down spot for the Texans.

Pick: Cardinals +5.5 (-108) [via DraftKings]

• 7:15pm cst: Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncons -2.5

This should actually be a great game. Something we did not expect a month ago. The Vikings are on a five game winning streak after losing the first four games of the season. The Broncos defense has been great in this four game stretch winning three of four games. New Vikings QB Josh Dobbs will be playing his second road game with the Vikings in elevation with what should be a rowdy Denver crowd with finally something to cheer for. Russel Wilson has been flying under the radar but has been having a good season. It’s a great situation fading the public darling in the Dobbs led Vikings against this Denver defense. I am trusting the Denver defense to force a turnover and Wilson take advantage of that. I think it is time to sell my Vikings shares and buy low once again on the Broncos laying less than a FG at home.

Pick: Broncos -2.5 (-115) [via DraftKings]