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College Football Saturday Handicaps

Photo Credit: Kansas Athletics

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College Football Record: 33-31-5 (-1.01 units) - Betting 1 Unit to Win X.

  • 11:00am cst: Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats -1; Total 44.5

I love this game. The Kentucky Wildcats are flying so below the radar with Devin Leary it is crazy that Florida opened as the favorite. I would compare this to the Cincinnati vs. BYU game last night. Wrong team opened up as the favorite because nobody has really watched the best team who against will be at home. Florida could not even score a touchdown at home against Charlotte last week and now they must go on the road against a very hungry Kentucky squad. This UK defense will give the weak Florida offense hell.

Pick: Kentucky -1 (-110) [via Caesars]

  • 11:00am cst: Texas A&M Aggies -6 vs. Arkansas Razorbacks; Total 53.5

This game is normally a literal coin toss and now the Aggies will be laying 6 in a neutral in Arlington with a backup quarterback? Yes, Max Johnson had a good game against Auburn but the Tigers looked pathetic offensively if you watched the game. Arkansas is definitely a step up from Auburn and this game is not in College Station so a bit more pressure. KJ Jefferson has had a couple good games but were bested in some coin toss games. I will take the six points in a tight game.

Pick: Arkansas +6 (-110) [via Caesars]

  • 11:00am cst: Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Marshall Thundering Herd -14.5; Total 47.5

Old Dominion is one of my lowest power rated teams going against a strong Marshall team. The Thundering Herd has a strong running game and defense to lean on. They are head and shoulders better than ODU. I will be leaning on the Marshall defense to shut down ODU and hold onto a runaway game. There shouldn’t be a look ahead to North Carolina State next week for the Herd. I expect a strong outing even with the hook on a 14.

Pick: Marshall -14.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 3:00pm cst: Boise State Broncos vs. Memphis Tigers -3; Total 58.5

The Boise State Broncs have a little extra rest (one day) and there is one thing I have noticed about Memphis: they are very soft. This was very evident against Navy especially in regards to their run defense. Boise has one of the best running backs in the country with Ashton Jeanty and Memphis is going to have hell trying to tackle him. Head Coach Avalos has this Boise team on the right path. Give me the points here.

Pick: Boise State +3 (-115) [via DraftKings]

  • 5:00pm cst: LSU Tigers -2.5 vs. Ole Miss Rebels; Total 67.5

Ole Miss was and Lane Kiffin were exposed once again against Alabama. The Ole Miss offense and the defense was exposed. Jayden Daniels and the LSU offense is on fire. Ole Miss struggled with a struggling Alabama offense so if LSU comes correct they should be able to do the same. I have lowered The Rebels severely after that Alabama game mostly due to their defense. I expect the LSU offense to feast once again.

Pick: LSU -2.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 6:30pm cst: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5.5 vs. Duke Blue Devils; Total 52.5

Notre Dame is coming off a heart breaking loss to Ohio State. Now, the Irish go on the road against the undefeated Duke Blue Devils. Duke has an underrated defense and a very capable offense. Notre Dame has one of the best offensive lines, Sam Hartman and a strong running back corps. The Duke defense will have its hands full. With the Duke defense and Riley Leonard under center I feel this veteran squad can hold there own at home in one of the biggest if not the biggest game in Duke footballs history. I’ll take the points.

Pick: Duke +5.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 7:00pm cst: Troy Trojans -1 vs. Georgia State Panthers; Total 50

Georgia State was very impressive against Coastal Carolina especially the defense. The offense also had a strong game behind their quarterback. Troy has been riding high but this should be the game where they finally fall back to earth. I like this one with a well rested Georgia State team.

Pick: Georgia State +1 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 8:00pm cst: Alabama Crimson Tide -14.5 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs; Total 46.5

This is about the same handicap as the LSU vs. Ole Miss game. Alabama may have figured out their offense and the defense is definitely awake. Mississippi State put up a ton of stats against South Carolina but still go their ass kicked. This Bama defense should put up a stone wall the way the LSU defense did against MSU. If Alabama can exploit the cowbell defense this should be a runaway game. I’m betting Bama puts up another impressive outing. I’m seeing a 14 at Circa Sports.

Pick: Alabama -14.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]