College Football Saturday Handicaps
Photo Credit: Tulsa World
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College Football Record: 62-70-7 . Betting 1 Unit to Win X.
11:00am cst: Oklahoma Sooners -8.5 vs. Kansas Jayhawks; Total 66
I have been giving out Kansas plus 10.5 all week on our Twitch streams. This has gone down two points from the key 10, but I like the Jayhawks getting more than a TD. The Sooners showed that they are susceptible to the run against UCF. If Kansas can take care of the football and get the running game working, I really think Kansas can cover this game. The Kansas defense has not been great once Big 12 play started, which is why I am not sure they can win outright. They struggled last season stopping OU in the running game. I’ll take the home points here and nothing less than a touchdown (7).
Pick: Kansas +8.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]
2:00pm cst: Memphis Tigers -7 vs. North Texas; Total 68
The Mean Green should be up for this game as it is homecoming and ever since they found their new quarterback, Chandler Rogers, from Mansfield, Texas they have vastly improved. Memphis has been solid but also up and down, especially on defense. If this North Texas offense continues to hum, which I expect, it has a good chance to not only cover but win this game.
Pick: North Texas +7 (-112) [via DraftKings]
2:30pm cst: Georgia Bulldogs -14 vs. Florida Gators; Total 49.5
I have discussed this game on the Twitch streams as well. As much as people like to make fun of Graham Mertz, myself included, he has been having a solid season. The Florida defense has impressed me all season, except for the Kentucky game of course, where we faded them heavily. Georgia has yet to face a defense like this. Brock Bowers will also be out. I think Florida can keep this one close as long as Mertz does not turn the ball over. South Carolina gave Georgia fits with quick passes and I expect Florida to use their running backs as well to keep UGA off balance.
Pick: Florida +14 (-110) [via DraftKings]
2:30pm cst: Oregon Ducks -6.5 vs. Utah Utes; Total 47.5
The Utes’ win over USC was no fluke. Bryson Barnes has been getting better every week at quarterback, and the defense continues to be strong. Remember, Utah’s only loss was to Oregon State on the road without Barnes. Don’t get me wrong, Oregon is a great team, but I downgrade its head coach because of his poor game management. Kyle Whittingham definitely has the upper hand. I am taking the points once again with Utah and would not be surprised if it won outright. Buying up to plus 7 isn’t a terrible idea either for those who do.
Pick: Utah +6.5 (-112) [via DraftKings]
2:30pm cst: BYU Cougars vs. Texas Longhorns -20; Total 50
BYU has a strong history against the Longhorns, but that was about 10 years ago. Let’s look closer into this game. UT has been playing plenty of close games, and it tends to play down to its competition. Ewers is OUT, and Maalik Murphy will be starting under center. I think Texas will lean heavily on the running game. I do not see Sarkisian letting Murphy sling the ball around in his first start against a game BYU team. People are down on BYU and waiting for it to slip up as it continues to get outgained. I understand that. My angle here is I am high on these BYU linebackers, and with Murphy starting, I can see UT milking the clock, which will help BYU keep the game close. Murphy could have an incredible game, and it wouldn’t be surprising, but I am betting on a close game.
Pick: BYU +20 (-110) [via DraftKings]
2:30pm cst: Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinals -6; Total 45.5
Duke is coming off a heartbreaking loss/blown lead to Florida State, where QB Riley Leonard was injured and kept out of the game. Louisville is coming off a bye week, where it got smoked by Pitt. I have no interest in Duke on the road. Leonard has not been great in my opinion, but the Duke defense has. Most of it has been turnover luck, which for Duke football, it’s about time. Louisville will be ready off the bye, and I expect it to put itself back into the ACC conversation.
Pick: Louisville -6 (-112) [via DraftKings]
2:30pm cst: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Miami Hurricanes -18.5; Total 47.5
Time for a stinker! I rate Miami coach Mario Cristobal as one of the worst game managers in football. He quite literally goes out of his way to try and lose games. Virginia is coming off a huge upset over North Carolina on the road. It is on the road once again against Miami off a big win. Miami’s offense had a lot of trouble last season against Virginia. Yes, Van Dyke did not play that game, and he should be able to go for this one. I feel this is too many points. Miami should be leaning on its running game. If Virginia can score a couple of touchdowns and play defense like I think it will, it should be in good shape.
Pick: Virginia +18.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]
6:00pm cst: Troy Trojans -7 vs. Texas State Bobcats; Total 53
The day has finally come for Texas State to have its day in the sun. Today is the Bobcats’ Super Bowl. Reigning Sun Belt champion Troy, which Texas State has never defeated, comes to town. If there was a chance for an upset, it would be tonight. The Bobcats can move the ball, but this will be the best defense they have faced. Too many points here in a game I think Texas State could win.
Pick: Texas State +7 (-110) [via Caesars]
9:30pm cst: Oregon State Beavers -3 vs. Arizona Wildcats; Total 56
I am the biggest fan of Arizona freshman QB Noah Fifita you will find, but he faces his toughest test tonight. Both teams are coming off a bye week, so I expect a great game. This is a major step up in competition for the Wildcats, even at home. Yes, they were able to almost defeat USC, but we know the Trojans’ defense is awful. Oregon State will be bringing a strong defense and an even stronger offensive line. Arizona ranks No. 14 in the country in run defense, and it will have to earn every bit of that tonight. This number is far too short, and if I get caught with my hand in the cookie jar, then so be it.
Pick: Oregon State -3 (-112) [via DraftKings]
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